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Monetary
Policy and the State of the Economy
by
Ron Paul
Statement
at Hearing of the House Financial Services Committee, February
15, 2007
Transparency in monetary policy is a goal we should all
support. I've often wondered why Congress so willingly has
given up its prerogative over monetary policy. Astonishingly,
Congress in essence has ceded total control over the value of
our money to a secretive central bank.
Congress
created the Federal Reserve, yet it had no constitutional
authority to do so. We forget that those powers not explicitly
granted to Congress by the Constitution are inherently denied to
Congress – and thus the authority to establish a central bank
never was given. Of course Jefferson and Hamilton had that
debate early on, a debate seemingly settled in 1913.
But
transparency and oversight are something else, and they're worth
considering. Congress, although not by law, essentially has
given up all its oversight responsibility over the Federal
Reserve. There are no true audits, and Congress knows nothing
of the conversations, plans, and actions taken in concert with
other central banks. We get less and less information regarding
the money supply each year, especially now that M3 is no longer
reported.
The role
the Fed plays in the President's secretive Working Group on
Financial Markets goes unnoticed by members of Congress. The
Federal Reserve shows no willingness to inform Congress
voluntarily about how often the Working Group meets, what
actions it takes that affect the financial markets, or why it
takes those actions.
But these
actions, directed by the Federal Reserve, alter the purchasing
power of our money. And that purchasing power is always
reduced. The dollar today is worth only four cents compared to
the dollar in 1913, when the Federal Reserve started. This has
profound consequences for our economy and our political
stability. All paper currencies are vulnerable to collapse, and
history is replete with examples of great suffering caused by
such collapses, especially to a nation's poor and middle class.
This leads to political turmoil.
Even
before a currency collapse occurs, the damage done by a fiat
system is significant. Our monetary system insidiously
transfers wealth from the poor and middle class to the
privileged rich. Wages never keep up with the profits of Wall
Street and the banks, thus sowing the seeds of class
discontent. When economic trouble hits, free markets and free
trade often are blamed, while the harmful effects of a fiat
monetary system are ignored. We deceive ourselves that all is
well with the economy, and ignore the fundamental flaws that are
a source of growing discontent among those who have not shared
in the abundance of recent years.
Few
understand that our consumption and apparent wealth is dependent
on a current account deficit of $800 billion per year. This
deficit shows that much of our prosperity is based on borrowing
rather than a true increase in production. Statistics show year
after year that our productive manufacturing jobs continue to go
overseas. This phenomenon is not seen as a consequence of the
international fiat monetary system, where the United States
government benefits as the issuer of the world's reserve
currency.
Government officials consistently claim that inflation is in
check at barely 2%, but middle class Americans know that their
purchasing power – especially when it comes to housing, energy,
medical care, and school tuition – is shrinking much faster than
2% each year.
Even if
prices were held in check, in spite of our monetary inflation,
concentrating on CPI distracts from the real issue. We must
address the important consequences of Fed manipulation of
interest rates. When interest rates are artificially low, below
market rates, insidious mal-investment and excessive
indebtedness inevitably bring about the economic downturn that
everyone dreads.
We look
at GDP numbers to reassure ourselves that all is well, yet a
growing number of Americans still do not enjoy the higher
standard of living that monetary inflation brings to the
privileged few. Those few have access to the newly created
money first, before its value is diluted.
For
example: Before the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system, CEO
income was about 30 times the average worker's pay. Today, it's
closer to 500 times. It's hard to explain this simply by market
forces and increases in productivity. One Wall Street firm last
year gave out bonuses totaling $16.5 billion. There's little
evidence that this represents free market capitalism.
In 2006
dollars, the minimum wage was $9.50 before the 1971 breakdown of
Bretton Woods. Today that dollar is worth $5.15. Congress
congratulates itself for raising the minimum wage by mandate,
but in reality it has lowered the minimum wage by allowing the
Fed to devalue the dollar. We must consider how the growing
inequalities created by our monetary system will lead to social
discord.
GDP
purportedly is now growing at 3.5%, and everyone seems pleased.
What we fail to understand is how much government entitlement
spending contributes to the increase in the GDP. Rebuilding
infrastructure destroyed by hurricanes, which simply gets us
back to even, is considered part of GDP growth. Wall Street
profits and salaries, pumped up by the Fed's increase in money,
also contribute to GDP statistical growth. Just buying military
weapons that contribute nothing to the well being of our
citizens, sending money down a rat hole, contributes to GDP
growth! Simple price increases caused by Fed monetary inflation
contribute to nominal GDP growth. None of these factors
represent any kind of real increases in economic output. So we
should not carelessly cite misleading GDP figures which don't
truly reflect what is happening in the economy. Bogus GDP
figures explain in part why so many people are feeling squeezed
despite our supposedly booming economy.
But since
our fiat dollar system is not going away anytime soon, it would
benefit Congress and the American people to bring more
transparency to how and why Fed monetary policy functions.
For
starters, the Federal Reserve should:
-
Begin publishing the M3 statistics again. Let us see the
numbers that most accurately reveal how much new money the
Fed is pumping into the world economy.
- Tell
us exactly what the President's Working Group on Financial
Markets does and why.
-
Explain how interest rates are set. Conservatives profess
to support free markets, without wage and price controls.
Yet the most important price of all, the price of money as
determined by interest rates, is set arbitrarily in secret
by the Fed rather than by markets! Why is this policy
written in stone? Why is there no congressional input at
least?
-
Change legal tender laws to allow constitutional legal
tender (commodity money) to compete domestically with the
dollar.
How can a
policy of steadily debasing our currency be defended morally,
knowing what harm it causes to those who still believe in saving
money and assuming responsibility for themselves in their
retirement years? Is it any wonder we are a nation of debtors
rather than savers?
We
need more transparency in how the Federal Reserve carries out
monetary policy, and we need it soon.
February
17, 2007
Dr.
Ron Paul is a Republican member of Congress from Texas.
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